[This post was originally published on The Living Room Tumblr.]

I made a Schrödinger’s Win Probability Chart for the Super Bowl, from Sunday night through Tuesday morning, showing who I thought probably won, based on hints I received & hunches I had while playing Last Man.

P.S. To clarify/explain a few points:

• This @SylvanRansom tweet, RT’d Sunday night by trusted #lastman-safe account @findthelastman (practically my sole source of information about the outside world for ~36 hours), struck me as something that a person was less likely to say if the Patriots had won. I mean, practically everybody expected the Patriots to win. So why would someone brag, “I knew they’d win” about a New England victory? Whereas, if you were one of the few who had predicted an Eagles win, that would be something to crow about.

• @ErictBBC’s redacted tweet included the statement, “I had no idea just how many freaking [team] fans work here. Holy crap.” Initially, that seemed to imply an Eagles win; after all, wouldn’t you already know if a bunch of your co-workers are Patriots fans? But then came the “meta-hunch” that, if the Eagles had won, @findthelastman would deem the tweet unsafe for that very reason, whereas if the Patriots had won, the issue might not occur to him. I described part of this swirling thought process in the moment as “#lastman madness.”

• I tweeted earlier about my co-worker’s “that’s a first” joke, and about my wife’s “American thing” joke. Both jokes were ostensibly neutral and could apply to either outcome – but they both struck me as slightly more likely to occur to someone if the Eagles had won.

• Conversely, my co-worker’s decision to tell the office Patriots superfan about #lastman, and urge him not to talk to me about the Super Bowl, struck me as potentially implying that the Patriots had won. Why would a Pats fan want to seek out a conversation with me about a game that his team had lost? (In retrospect, this unintentional head-fake was helpful in counteracting some of the Eagles-leaning hints that I had picked up, thereby preventing me from even approaching Rule 4 territory.)

• The “DM about Pennsylvania” was a comment by @dgmcdowell about the Pennsylvania redistricting controversy that, while (again) ostensibly not giving anything away, seems to me like something he’d be marginally more likely to think of saying if the Eagles had won.