Category Archives: Hurricanes

Hurricane Sandy: The ultimate October surprise?

      7 Comments on Hurricane Sandy: The ultimate October surprise?

It’s too early to be remotely certain, but Hurricane Sandy has the potential to become a big f***in’ deal for the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic, transitioning into an epic storm of historic proportions — not a major hurricane per se, but a monster warm-core/cold-core hybrid, possibly a “subtropical hurricane” (a category which isn’t even supposed to exist) — and slamming the… Read more »

New Orleans in peril, again

      2 Comments on New Orleans in peril, again

Again, for coverage of T.S. Isaac, check out my Pajamas Media “Weather Nerd” blog, and also follow me on Twitter. Forget Tampa and the RNC — that’s a sideshow. This storm is looking increasingly scary for New Orleans, though there’s still a great deal of uncertainty. Here’s what one computer model predicted Saturday night: Yikes!! But again, that’s just one… Read more »

Will Hurricane Isaac Occupy the RNC?

      2 Comments on Will Hurricane Isaac Occupy the RNC?

It’s way too early to be certain of where Tropical Storm Isaac will go, but Republican National Convention organizers have to be pretty nervous right now. The official NHC forecast has Isaac, by then a Category 1 hurricane, making a beeline for Tampa on the first day of the RNC (next Monday), and the most recent run of the GFS… Read more »

T.S. Nate could threaten U.S. Gulf Coast

      1 Comment on T.S. Nate could threaten U.S. Gulf Coast

I’m blogging again over at Weather Nerd. Here’s an excerpt from this morning’s update on Tropical Storm Nate: Sometimes, in the life of a tropical cyclone, there is a distinct turning point in the evolution of the track forecast, where the computer models suddenly shift toward a new and markedly different solution. When this happens, the National Hurricane Center…generally waits… Read more »

“Thank God for…Brendan Loy”

      1 Comment on “Thank God for…Brendan Loy”

Dude… it’s PajamasMedia.com. I apologize to my LRT readers for having so little coverage of Hurricane Irene here, while I was blogging up a storm (pun intended) over at my Pajamas Media site, Weather Nerd. Ideally, I would have done more partial cross-posting — understandably, PJM doesn’t let me do full cross-posts, since they pay me for exclusive content, but… Read more »

#PREPARE

      2 Comments on #PREPARE

Sorry to keep posting these computer model maps, but they’re just so sensational, I can’t help myself. From the 0Z GFS: Over on Weather Nerd, I write: Holy hell. That map is downright terrifying. (It’s even worse when viewed as an animation. Hat tip: Ryan Maue.) It represents something pretty darn close to the true worst-case scenario, the New York… Read more »

The trend is no longer your friend

      5 Comments on The trend is no longer your friend

The computer models forecasting Hurricane Irene’s track have shifted back west today, decisively ending the eastward “trend” of the forecasts, and bringing New Jersey, New York City, Long Island, and Southern New England very much back into the bullseye of the risk zone. This also increases the risk of a direct hit (rather than a glancing blow) in North Carolina,… Read more »