We’re having a baby tomorrow

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Or maybe later today. But probably tomorrow.

At Becky’s OB checkup this morning, we learned that there’s been some progress since last Tuesday, and there is no longer any reason to even contemplate delaying the long-planned, and repeatedly hinted at, July 12 induction (that’s at 40 weeks + 4 days, for those scoring at home). So, tomorrow it is, unless she goes into labor between now and then.

(Any real-time updates are most likely to appear on Twitter, at @brendanloy and @MileHighBecky. Although we probably won’t be posting too many updates even there. But we’ll certainly let you know the big news when it happens.)

Baby Pool implications after the jump! But first, the baby’s heartbeat:

Oh, and speaking of babies… check out these five baby barn swallows in the nest above our front door, anticipating their mommy’s return:

No baby or @MileHighBecky labor yet, but here are the 5 baby birds (federally protected barn swallows) above our door:

They’re a federally protected species, so by law, we can’t do anything about the nest until they leave it. (I blame Obama!) Not that I’d really want to anyway. So cute! Here they are a few seconds before the above photo:

And here’s a video of what happened in between the photos:

Okay, anyway, like I said, Baby Pool implications after the jump!

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Counting down to an unknown liftoff

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No, this isn’t a Shuttle follow-up. It’s a post about baby news. Or the lack thereof.

The final days before a baby’s arrival — Baby Girl Loy #3, a.k.a. “Loyabelle,” was “due” on Friday, and is most likely coming out no later than Tuesday — are so strange. A huge amount of your attention is devoted to a countdown to an event whose timing is unknown. You’re acutely aware that everything could change at any given moment. Every outing, every meal, every bedtime could be our last as a family of four. Or it might not.

On Saturday, knowing that it might be our final day as a foursome, we decided to venture out for a family outing to the zoo. We had fun! Then, as Grandma & Grandpa babysat, Becky and I went on a midday “date” to see Super 8 (which was really good!), figuring it might be our last opportunity for “couple time” before a newborn massively complicates such things for at least a few months.

A bit later, we sat down for dinner — maybe our last one as a family of four. Or maybe we’ll have another tomorrow! We don’t know! Finally, when we put the girls to bed, we told them that if the baby decides to be born tonight, Grandma & Grandpa might wake them up in the morning. But if not, then we’ll still be there.

It’s a strange feeling. What is it Dr. Suess’s “Oh The Places You’ll Go” calls it? The waiting place…Everyone is just waiting.

Anyway, the date/time portion of the Baby Pool is down to 6 7 contestants. [UPDATE/CORRECTION: I got a little ahead of myself. David’s day is tomorrow. Roger Mendieta wins if the baby is born today (before 10:06 PM).]

Roger Mendieta: 7/10/11 12:00 PM (window: now to 7/10/11 10:05 PM)
David K.: 7/11/11 8:11 AM (victory window: 7/10/11 10:06 PM to to 7/11/11 8:17 PM)
Larry Caplin: 7/12/11 8:23 AM (victory window: 7/11/11 8:17 PM to 7/12/11 10:56 AM)
Alasdair: 7/12/11 1:30 PM (victory window: 7/12/11, 10:57 AM to 2:22 PM)
Keri Hyles: 7/12/11 3:15 PM (victory window: 7/12/11, 2:23 PM to 3:21 PM)
Evana Young: 7/12/11 3:27 PM (victory window: 7/12/11 3:21 PM to 7/13/11 2:59 PM)
Casey Zak: 7/14/11 2:31 PM (victory window: anytime after 7/13/11 2:59 PM)

On another note, for posterity’s sake, I wanted to copy & paste some of the baby-related tweets that Becky and I (and a couple of other folks) have posted in the last couple of days. The timestamps are in UTC, so subtract 6 hours for Mountain Time.

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Final Shuttle mission launches, briefly distracts from Unemploymageddon

Overcoming concerns about weather — and a last-minute technical hitch that created a dramatic countdown hold at T-minus 31 seconds, with just minutes remaining in the launch window — the Space Shuttle Atlantis rocketed into space a few minutes ago, a picture-perfect final launch for NASA’s 30-year Shuttle program. [UPDATE: Apparently, liftoff occurred with just 58 seconds left in the launch window. Whew!]

Ubiquitous tech guru Robert Scoble was there, and took this photo:

STS-135 Last Shuttle Launch

So, Atlantis made it into space before Loyabelle made it out of Becky’s belly. Today is her “scheduled launch date,” too, if you will, as the countdown sidebar at right makes clear. (“Baby Loy #3 due; last Shuttle launch: 0 days.”) But as of now, the baby-launch countdown clock is on a “hold.” The launch window extends through Tuesday morning, then she’s coming out whether she likes it or not. 🙂

Anyway, back to the Shuttle launch. Here’s what it looked like on my computer:

Final Space Shuttle launch

I only just barely remembered to tune in — the hold at 31 seconds probably saved me from missing the launch altogether.

The launch created a brief distraction, at least on Twitter, from the morning’s other big news: the release of a truly dismal jobs report, which was — in all seriousness, “unexpected” jokes aside — far worse than economists, market analysts, and investors expected, as demonstrated by the stock market’s plunge.

There is all sorts of #PANIC out there today, both political (#PresidentBachmann #PANIC!) and economic. The latter is well encapsulated by this series of tweets by Washington Post economics reporter Neil Irwin:

T-minus 3 minutes to jobs report. Brace yourself!

18k payroll jobs

Terrible, terrible number.

Unempoyment up to 9.2%

Private payrolls up 57k

May number revised down to +25k jobs.

This is a horrendous report.

Average hourly earnings flatline, unchanged.

Sheesh. 18k payroll job creation, compared to 105k expected and 54k last month. That’s basically no net job growth.

This seems to throw into question the second half bounce-back story.

Rise in unemployment rate is for bad reason (fewer people with jobs), not good (more people entering labor force).

272k people dropped out of labor force–if they hadn’t, unemployment rise would be worse.

39k government jobs slashed, after 48k slashed in May.

Drop of 12k temporary jobs is a worrisome sign for the outlook–tends to be a leading indicator.

6.3 million people unemployed for more than 6 months, 44 percent of total.

Median duration of unemployment up to 22.5 weeks, from 22.

U-6, broader measure of unemployment, is way up, to 16.2% from 15.8%.

Usually you can find some silver linings or glimmers of hope in any jobs report. I haven’t found a single one in this stinker.

I was a lot more confident in that view an hour ago MT @ryanavent: Perspective: other data pts are getting better and a better 2nd half looks likely.

Maybe Loyabelle isn’t coming out of the womb because she knows there are no jobs out here for her. 😉 In all seriousness, my big fear: will we someday look back at 2010 as being equivalent to 1933 — an illusory recovery followed by a “double dip” as bad or worse than the original recession/depression? Brother, can you spare a binky?

Review: Harry Potter‘s climactic battle “easily equals” LOTR, Star Wars

I say again, OMG OMG OMG:

Fans can rest assured…that their patience will be paid off fully, and some, in the final epic Harry Potter chapter.

The eighth and final installment goes out with a bang, pulling on heart strings at every turn.

In this, the grandest of grand cinematic endings, Harry Potter finally confronts and conquers dark Lord Voldemort in a momentous and, at times, terrifying showdown that easily equals Lord Of The Rings or Star Wars in terms of a dramatic and memorable battle between good and evil.

Can’t. Wait.

P.S. Other critics agree. Though I’m going to try to resist the urge to read all the reviews, and learn all sorts of mini-spoilers.

Improvisation FTW

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Jason Isaacs, the actor who plays Lucius Malfoy, relates a great story I hadn’t heard before about how a memorable exchange in Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets was improvised:

I remember my very first day, I improvised a line. … I had to kind of flounce out of a room when Dumbledore, played by the late, great Richard Harris, put me in my place, and there was no line written, no exit line. And I’d been humiliated, and my plan had come to nothing. And I said to Chris Columbus, “Don’t you think there should be a line?” And he said, “Well, say something. Say whatever you like.” So we did another take, and I hadn’t told anyone what I was going to do. And as I turned to leave, I looked at Daniel [Radcliffe], and I said, “Let us hope Mr. Potter will always be around to save the day.” And then Daniel, who was all of 12, stepped right up to me, looked me right in the eye, and said “Don’t worry. I will be.” A chill went down my spine. And as he did it, I thought, “Christ, this kid is good.”

1982 article: “Study says technology could transform society”

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An old New York Times article predicting, in broad terms, the rise and impact of the Internet, published on the day Becky was born — June 14, 1982 — is making the rounds on Twitter tonight. The article reports on an NSF-affiliated study that, once you get past the silly names (“teletext and videotex”), is remarkably prescient in many ways. Lede:

A report commissioned by the National Science Foundation and made public today speculates that by the end of this century electronic information technology will have transformed American home, business, manufacturing, school, family and political life.

The report suggests that one-way and two-way home information systems, called teletext and videotex, will penetrate deeply into daily life, with an effect on society as profound as those of the automobile and commercial television earlier in this century.

More:

”Videotex systems create opportunities for individuals to exercise much greater choice over the information available to them,” the researchers wrote. ”Individuals may be able to use videotex systems to create their own newspapers, design their own curricula, compile their own consumer guides.

”On the other hand, because of the complexity and sophistication of these systems, they create new dangers of manipulation or social engineering, either for political or economic gain. Similarly, at the same time that these systems will bring a greatly increased flow of information and services into the home, they will also carry a stream of information out of the home about the preferences and behavior of its occupants.”

The report stressed what it called ”transformative effects” of the new technology, the largely unintended and unanticipated social side effects. … Such effects, it added, were likely to become apparent in home and family life, in the consumer marketplace, in the business office and in politics.

Read the whole thing.

Born on the Fourth of July? Nope.

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In case anyone was wondering, Becky and I are still the parents of two daughters, not three, at last check. 🙂 No baby yet, nor any real signs of impending labor. (When there is news, it will probably appear on my Twitter stream first.)

Because the Baby Pool guesses were heavily weighted toward the holiday weekend — even though the baby isn’t due until this Friday — almost half of the field in the Third Biennial Loy Baby Pool has already been eliminated from the date & time portion of the contest (the weight & length portion, of course, is still wide open). The following contestants are still mathematically alive:

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The wait is over!

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Today, the Pac-10 officially welcomes the University of Utah and the University of Colorado to the Conference of Champions, and becomes the Pac-12.

Football Field

Utah will be the first Pac-12 team to open play when it takes on Montana State in 62 days, on Thursday, September 1st. Arizona State plays a game later the same evening.

USC and Utah will face each other 9 days later, on Saturday September 10th, in the first Pac-12 conference game.

Colorado’s first game as a Pac-12 member will be at Hawaii on September 3rd. On the 10th, they’ll face Cal in a non-conference conference game. Their first actual conference game will be on October 1st, when they take on the Washington State Cougars (in what could be a battle for the bottom of the Pac-12).

You can view the full Pac-12 schedule here.

UPDATE BY BRENDAN: Here in Colorado, Governor Hickenlooper has declared today “Pac-12 Day.”

Best Pac-10 Teams

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With less than 12 hours to go before the dawn of the Pac-12, ESPN Pac-10/Pac-12 blogger Ted Miller’s latest post ranks the best teams of the Pac-10 era. Who’s number one? I’ll give you a hint: Woof woof woof.