Category Archives: Blog & Guest Posts

Cape Cod may get hit, after all

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It looks like Jim Cantore may have picked the wrong Cape. The official NHC forecast now calls for Hurricane Earl to pass closer to Cape Cod and the Islands than to Cape Hatteras and the Outer Banks, thanks to a gradual leftward shift over the last several advisories, and most recently, an overnight lurch in the computer models: AFTER 48… Read more »

Fearless predictions on Pigskin’s Eve

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In the spirit of my post last year on opening day, I’ve tweeted some #fearlesspredictions for the college football season ahead. For now, you can view them in the sidebar at right. For posterity, I’ll also copy & paste them after the jump. P.S. But first, courtesy of @jadaily, a song for the occasion: It’s the most wonderful time of… Read more »

Earl back to Cat. 4; watches, warnings extended; T.S. Gaston forms

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Hurricane Earl is back up to Category 4 intensity, with 135 mph winds. Not much change to the forecast reasoning — the worst weather is likely to remain offshore — but that right turn needs to begin soon (like, tonight). Watches and warnings now extend from Cape Fear, North Carolina all the way to almost the Massachusetts-New Hampshire border. Meanwhile,… Read more »

Earl update: Hurricane Warnings up, New England not yet in the clear

Did I speak too soon? The computer model forecast tracks for Hurricane Earl, which had been trending east (and away from a New England threat), trended ever-so-slightly back west overnight. That “crucial 40° N 70° W marker” I mentioned? It’s now in the crosshairs of the official NHC track and the model consensus. And get a load of the GFNI:… Read more »

Cantore calls it: New England threat diminishes

[Cross-posted from Sullivan’s Travellers.] The Weather Channel’s harbinger of hurricane-related doom, Jim Cantore, has changed his travel plans, and will be greeting Hurricane Earl from Cape Hatteras instead of Cape Cod. The latest computer model map illustrates why: The models now universally call for Earl to take a pronounced right turn between 30° N and 40° N; there is no… Read more »

The Democrats’ risky messaging strategy?

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I heard Robert Gibbs on NPR this morning, repeating the now-familiar Democratic talking point that the Republicans are advocating policies that would take us backward to the conditions that created this financial & economic crisis in the first place, whereas the Democrats are moving the country forward and digging us out from the hole that those GOP policies created (and… Read more »

No, Earl is not the NYC Nightmare Storm (but it could be a big deal for somebody)

[Cross-posted from Sullivan’s Travellers.] First, please accept my apologies, anyone who’s been looking here for hurricane updates. I’ve been derelict in my storm-watching duties — indeed, I don’t know if there’s ever been a time in the last 20 years when I’ve paid this little attention to a major hurricane in the Atlantic, never mind one that’s a possible threat… Read more »

On the Ground at the Beck Rally

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I had not even heard about the Beck Rally until about two weeks ago.  Normally I look on these sorts of events with a mild curiosity, but rarely does this curiosity force me to get off my duff and actually make the 30-minute trip down to the Mall from my home in suburban Maryland, along the dreaded Green Line.  But today… Read more »

Two years ago today…

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It’s ironic, really, how much I’ve come to loathe Sarah Palin and everything she represents, and to earnestly believe that John McCain’s selection of her as his runningmate — and elevation of her poisonous presence onto the national stage — was one of the most reckless, irresponsible, indefensible, politics-first/country-last decisions in modern political history, such that it caused me to… Read more »

BYU to WAC deal still alive?

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Desert News blogger Jared Eborn says that a source has informed him that talks between BYU and the WAC continue and that ESPN is still involved. BYU is apparently still commited to independence (which would jive with why they haven’t declared that they are staying in the Mountain West yet) and that the WAC is still a viable landing spot… Read more »